Formula 1 teams arrived in Las Vegas armed with two years of data, but that advantage evaporated the moment the weekend descended into disrupted sessions and – for the first time in Sin City – a fully wet track.
Even so, setups were geared aggressively toward low-downforce trim to exploit the circuit’s vast straights, especially the 1.8km blast down the Strip where cars rocket past Vegas’ glittering landmarks.
The speed trap numbers from qualifying are relatively anecdotal given the treacherous conditions, where survival was the priority. That the session avoided any red flags is a testament to the grid’s finesse – Alex Albon’s misjudgment aside – in conditions that offered little margin for error.
Charles Leclerc topping the speed trap readings came as no surprise as Ferrari’s Monza-spec rear wing is the least loaded among the front-runners. The unusually wide spread across the field reflected the track’s rapid evolution from extreme wets to intermediates.
Despite carrying slightly more downforce, George Russell’s Mercedes still posted strong straight-line numbers while benefiting from improved tyre temperature management. Last year’s Vegas winner is well positioned to feature prominently again on Saturday night.
With dry conditions expected, Pirelli projects a Medium-to-Hard one-stop as the quickest option on paper. High graining on the Soft makes it a risky strategic choice, though bold outliers may still roll the dice.
Pirelli chief Mario Isola also sees potential in a Medium-Hard-Hard two-stop for those who saved an extra set of the most durable compound.
But in the end, this is Vegas. One misplaced drain cover, one late safety car, one ambitious lunge under the lights, and every carefully crafted plan can be shredded in seconds. In Sin City, chaos still holds the best hand.
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